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    BAILOUT: CBN LEADS EXECUTION OF THE BUHARI PLAN


    The Central Bank of Nigeria recently commenced the disbursement of a Special Intervention Fund approved by President Muhammadu Buhari to 27 states for the payment of several months of outstanding salaries to civil servants. This is indeed good news. The failure of many state governments to pay workers’ salaries for several months now has dominated the news headlines because of the mass suffering and socio-economic disruptions it has ignited in many parts of the country. For the workers, their families and dependents, the joy is palpable. 
    The relief Fund is both timely and humane, and demonstrates that the Buhari administration has made the welfare of workers a top priority. It deserves the commendation of all Nigerians because it signals the end of an excruciating period of misery and frustration for Nigerian workers. But the benefits go beyond that. The Fund will also help to reflate the economy by increasing aggregate demand as the workers expend their pent-up purchasing power. This is the sort of response that should come from any responsible, people-oriented government or institution. 
    It would be recalled that the National Economic Council, in response to widespread protests by state government workers across the country had, at its meeting of June 29, 2015, requested the Central Bank, the Debt Management Office and other relevant agencies to consider and recommend ways of paying outstanding workers’ salaries owed by state and local governments.
    Following the work done by the CBN and the others, as well as subsequent discussions, President Muhammadu Buhari on July 2015 approved a comprehensive relief package designed to fix the challenge and lessen the financial pressures on state governors.
    The components of the three-pronged package include:
    ·The sharing of $2.1bn by the three tiers of government sourced from Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) proceeds to the federation account
    ·The restructuring of states’ debt-servicing payments by the Debt Management Office (DMO), and
    ·The CBN's Special Intervention Fund which was creatively structured to help states access funds solely for the purpose of paying the backlog of salaries
    To underline the seriousness and urgency of the issue, the CBN last week released the first batch of payments: Osun, N34.988b; Zamfara, N10.020b; Kwara, N4.320Billion. News reports indicate that the affected states have started paying the backlogs of salaries.
    The next batch of payments, expected to begin from this week, are as follows: Kogi,  N50.842b;  Benue, N28.013b; Imo, N26.806; Oyo, N26.606b; Ogun, N20b; Gombe, N16.459 b; Ondo, N14.686b; Abia, N14.152b. 
    Also on the list are Sokoto, N10.093b; Delta, N10.036b; Ekiti, N9.604b; Bauchi, N8.60b; Nasarawa, N8.317b; Cross Rivers, N7.856b; and Borno, N7.680b.
    The other states in this category are: Plateau, N5.357b;  Niger, N4.306b; Enugu, 4.207b; Ebonyi, N4.063b; Katsina, N3.304b; Edo, N3.167b; Adamawa, N2.378b; Bayelsa, N1.285b and Kebbi, N0.690b.
    The Central Bank is also reported to have left strict instructions to the banks to the effect that the monies should be paid directly into the accounts of the workers. This should prevent the diversion of the funds to other projects by unscrupulous state governments. The expectation is that by the end of September, all backlogs of salaries nationwide would have been cleared. The social, financial and psychological impact of resolving the wage crisis can only be imagined.
    As already stated, the President deserves a resounding applause for providing the resolute political leadership required to bring respite to the workers who have suffered for so long.  The Central Bank must also be commended for the speed, professionalism and thoroughness of its efforts to carry out the president’s directive. It has also demonstrated in line with its often stated development vision that beyond its traditional role as a monetary authority, it is committed and willing to tailor its policies and make strategic interventions in ways that directly impact the lives of Nigerians. This is what happens when a socially committed political leadership works in tandem with a humane monetary authority to resolve a serious national financial problem – the people are directly impacted.
    When the relief package was announced couple of months back, some critics had argued that the government was simply out to reward the financial recklessness of state governors with federal resources. While it is true that some governors have been reckless, it would have been remiss of the Buhari administration to ignore the socio-economic and political costs of allowing the situation to go on unattended. The reality on the ground was that the states simply did not have the financial wherewithal to pay worker’s salaries.
    National revenues had fallen by over 50% as a result of the sharp fall in global oil prices with attendant adverse effects on state’s finances. Only a tiny minority of the states, who had saved for the rainy day or had good internal revenue receipts were in a position to meet their obligations to their workers. Expectedly, majority were literally caught napping with nothing much to fall back on. This inevitably led to their inability to pay workers’ salaries, with some states defaulting for upwards of eight months. The misery of civil servants was a real and immediate concern that demanded prompt and decisive action ahead of other considerations.
    The truth is, when a nation finds itself in a situation so far-reaching that the ability of those who drive the machinery of government to afford food and other basics of life is threatened, all haste and government resources must be quickly mobilized to resolve such a situation.
    This is exactly what the government has done through this relief package and it is significant at several levels.
    At the human level, it will give workers the capacity to settle their debts, pay their bills and live like decent human beings. Failure to pay salaries had literally turned civil servants into beggars, led to the death of many from illnesses that could otherwise have been treated and kept their children at home due to their inability to pay school fees.
    At the economic level, the Central Bank’s injection of over N300 billion into the economy will help to reflate the economy by increasing consumer spending, which accounts for over 70% of the country’s gross domestic product. Like most developing economies, the Nigerian economy is largely consumer-driven. The level of economic activity rises and falls based on consumer behavior which is determined by income. When the capacity of people to spend on goods and services increases, the economy flourishes, and when they curtail their spending, the economy falters.
    When viewed against the backdrop of the sharp fall in oil prices and resulting contraction in national revenues, this action has the potential to spark a surge in consumer spending which should stimulate economic growth. In an economy like ours where the government is the biggest spender, the financial system has been seriously squeezed as a result of the fall in revenues.
    In addition, it is also common knowledge that the economies of most states outside Lagos, Abuja and Port Harcourt, revolve around the civil service which is the number one employer of labor. The spending behavior of civil servants, thus, determines to a large extent the health and dynamism of sub-national economies. The non-payment of salaries along with the general lull in economic activities literally ground economic activities in the affected states to a halt. This situation will hopefully change because research has overtime shown that people in like situations are more likely to spend as much as 80% of such monies to service debts, pay for goods and services with only a minimal portion of it going to savings.  And since one person's spending is another's income, economists and government policy makers are of the strong view that this action will help to strengthen the economy. The intervention is therefore a double positive for the states concerned and by extension the national economy.
    Contrary to some misguided criticism and distortions, it is clear that the Central Bank put a lot of thought and care to ensure that beyond helping to fix the problem, the country is not shortchanged in anyway but rather makes a fair profit in the long run. The funds are being disbursed not as free money, but rather as soft loans at 9% interest rate payable within a 20 year period. They are also tied to stringent conditions which include provision of Irrevocable Standing Payment Orders (ISPOs) to ensure timely repayment/deductions at source from the states’ Federation Account allocations. It is therefore virtually impossible for any state to avoid payment. In addition to these conditions, the states are also required to conduct biometric verification of their payroll so as to remove ghost workers.
    The bottom-line is that the states will receive long term loans provided at highly concessionary rates that will help them clean out the backlog of salaries and enable them meet the terms of payments without digging a crater into their finances. The loans will relieve the states of a debilitating financial burden and free up funds for important priorities like infrastructure and job creation.
    Considering the fact that human lives are involved, coupled with the political and economic consequences that the situation posed to the country, it is clear that the President made the right call. It is a decisive intervention by the President that has being speedily and decisively executed by the Central Bank.
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